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Research

Research

Empirical research into financial markets, derivatives and market microstructure.

Derivatives Markets

Options positioning, open interest dynamics, volatility and derivatives microstructure.

2 papers · 1 research note

  • Working Paper2026· v17

    Open Interest Repositioning around Intraday Price-structure Breaks: Evidence from NIFTY 50 Index Options

    A comprehensive empirical study of whether intraday options open-interest repositioning provides advance information about structural price breaks in NIFTY 50 index options.

    • NIFTY 50
    • Weekly Options
    • Open Interest
    • Market Microstructure
    • Structural Breaks
    • +2

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  • Working Paper2026

    FnO Ban Selling Pressure

    A pre-registered test of whether entry into the NSE F&O ban creates selling pressure in the cash market — large and significant in 2020–24, then gone from 2025.

    • F&O Ban
    • Position Limits
    • Price Pressure
    • Single-Stock Derivatives
    • Event Study
    • +1

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Research notes

Shorter write-ups of a study or a programme of tests — the question, the design and what was found, including when it was nothing.

  • Research note

    How Much of NIFTY's 1-Minute Direction Is Predictable? A Spectral Ceiling for Option Buyers

    Instead of testing one more entry signal, we asked how much of NIFTY's short-horizon direction any linear signal could predict at best. The answer — under 1% of variance across all sessions at 1–5 minutes (about 0.2% in the development period) — caps hit rates well below what an intraday option buyer needs.

    • Market Microstructure
    • Derivatives Markets
    • Computational Finance & Applied ML

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